Trump, 78, was on course for an Electoral College landslide over Vice President Kamala Harris after he reversed his 2020 losses in the crucial states of Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — running ...
Still, the betting probabilities and polling seem at odds between the past two elections. In recent days, Trump's probability of winning the 2024election has approached Biden's in 2020.
Lott’s research has also found that election betting odds have a slight lean toward Democratic candidates but less so than FiveThirtyEight’s model does. Both tend to be more “surprised ...