Follow 538 for live updates on the uncalled races in the 2024 election, including who will control the U.S. House and how big the GOP's majority in the Senate will be.
Trump winning Massachusetts? Harris winning Tennessee? "Prediction models are fun, but not terribly useful," said one ...
Donald Trump has won victory in the race for the presidency of the United States, gaining a historic second term. He passed ...
Through Monday, Nov. 4, 83 million Americans had already cast their ballots in the 2024 election. On Tuesday, Nov. 5 — Election Day — millions more will join them.
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Trump and Biden are tied in 538's new election forecastToday 538 published our official forecast for the 2024 presidential election. The model builds on our general election polling averages by asking not just what our best guess is about who is ...
The closest election of the century keeps getting closer. Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former ...
Follow 538 and ABC News for live updates on the presidential election between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, and key races ...
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